Crucial Tips for Taking Advantage of NBA Players’ Props Bets
Most Australian and US betting websites offer different NBA betting markets for each game. One of the most interesting and sometimes lucrative is the basketball player performance betting market. Aside from the game’s superstars, most player stats fluctuate a significant amount each night. So if you can determine when a player’s night is or won’t be, you can take advantage of the player’s performance in the NBA aftermarket. Here are some tips for making your own decision regarding prop betting in player performance markets.
In general, some selected players are assigned a lower / higher value on a different stat, be it rebounds, points, assists, or a combination of two or more of them. Typically, the line is set around your seasonal average for that specific star; for example, Luka Doncic’s season average of 28.8 points, so bookmakers can set his point line to 28.5. Additionally, a few key factors can cause a player to perform badly or well on any given night. Bookies are experienced enough to adjust their lines if something significant happens. Still sometimes they don’t show up and sometimes you get a little window to jump into before they update.
Injury
The main factor is injury. When a leading team player suffers an injury, the bookies think that his replacement in the starting lineup should get the most of his production. Although the replacement will actually increase the stats, at least two other players in the starting lineup will get an extra boost in production that will see them reach the end and vice versa if an injured player returns to the lineup. An excellent case is when point guard Chris Paul left with an injury and Austin Rivers, his replacement in the starting lineup, received a notable raise, but players like JJ Reddick and Jamal Crawford also improved their points and assisted in Chris’ absence. These guys often go unnoticed by bookmakers.
Pairings
Another essential factor in prop betting is match-ups. Few teams defend some positions extremely well while producing other positions in spades. It’s generally a safe bet to stay away from overs when your player is playing against teams like the Grizzlies or Spurs. They can defend all positions well and rarely allow a single player to dominate the game. One team to watch out for is the Boston Celtics. They can defend the point guard positions very well with Avery Bradley and Marcus Smart, but on the other hand, they are the worst rebounding team. We saw Andre Drummond, the rebounding leader whose rebounding line is usually set around 14.5, claim 22 against the Celtics, which can be an easy win for overs. The best thing to do when participating in these types of bets is to study the team’s statistics and the defensive vs. There are several sites where you can get all the information.
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